SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
47.9% ( 0.15) | 26.49% ( -0.04) | 25.62% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.04% ( 0.06) | 55.97% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% ( 0.05) | 77.06% ( -0.05) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( 0.1) | 23.39% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.62% ( 0.14) | 57.38% ( -0.14) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.06) | 37.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.91% ( -0.06) | 74.1% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 |
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
| 11 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
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