SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Estoril Praia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Estoril Praia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
29.29% ( -2.01) | 28.24% ( -0.27) | 42.46% ( 2.28) |
| Both teams to score 45.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.68% ( 0.33) | 60.32% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.52% ( 0.25) | 80.48% ( -0.24) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -1.35) | 36.66% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.55% ( -1.38) | 73.45% ( 1.38) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 1.44) | 28.09% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.24% ( 1.79) | 63.76% ( -1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.29% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.72% Total : 42.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
| 2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
| 7 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
| 8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 24 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 6 |
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