We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Famalicao
Last season showed these two sides are evenly matched, and, both going through major squad changes, we do not envisage either making a blistering start to the season with a dominant performance.
Ultimately, we opt for a share of the spoils which should be relatively pleasing for each team as they look to settle into the new term.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.