Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Boavista |
44.18% ( 0.21) | 25.64% ( 0.17) | 30.18% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.89% ( -0.89) | 50.1% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.92% ( -0.8) | 72.07% ( 0.79) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.28) | 22.61% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% ( -0.42) | 56.23% ( 0.41) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% ( -0.72) | 30.63% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.12% ( -0.86) | 66.87% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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