SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
46.06% ( 0.07) | 26.57% ( 0.02) | 27.36% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.78% ( -0.11) | 55.22% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( -0.09) | 76.45% ( 0.09) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.02) | 23.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.85% ( -0.02) | 58.15% ( 0.02) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.13) | 35.44% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.79% ( -0.13) | 72.2% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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