SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester United |
39.43% ( -0.4) | 23.79% ( -0.14) | 36.78% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 62.23% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.14% ( 0.74) | 39.86% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.78% ( 0.76) | 62.22% ( -0.76) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( 0.13) | 20.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.07% ( 0.21) | 52.93% ( -0.21) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( 0.61) | 21.75% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.06% ( 0.92) | 54.93% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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