SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 76.65%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Brentford |
76.65% ( -0.31) | 14.15% ( 0.14) | 9.2% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.77% ( -0.1) | 30.23% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.53% ( -0.12) | 51.47% ( 0.12) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.54% ( -0.08) | 6.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.83% ( -0.22) | 24.17% ( 0.22) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0.28) | 42.17% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.42% ( 0.24) | 78.58% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 8.06% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 4.15% Total : 76.65% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.15% | 1-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.2% |
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