SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 84.33%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 5.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 4-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.94%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
84.33% ( 0.12) | 10.52% ( 0.02) | 5.15% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.68% ( -0.87) | 28.31% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.87% ( -1.08) | 49.13% ( 1.08) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.26% ( -0.13) | 4.74% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.81% ( -0.41) | 19.19% ( 0.41) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.53% ( -1.2) | 51.47% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.34% ( -0.81) | 85.66% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 3-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.37)4-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.07)7-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.91% Total : 84.31% | 1-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.52% | 1-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 5.15% |
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