MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:34:38
SM
Newcastle vs. Arsenal: 18 hrs 55 mins

We said: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford

Liverpool simply cannot afford another performance with so little attacking inspiration, and Brentford's leaky tendencies away from home should help them right the wrongs of Thursday night. Frank's side have already taken points off Liverpool once this season, but their downward spiral should continue with a comprehensive defeat on Merseyside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 75.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 8.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawBrentford
75.57%15.65%8.78%
Both teams to score 45.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47%39.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12%61.88%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.18%8.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.77%30.23%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.3%49.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.55%84.45%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 75.56%
    Brentford 8.78%
    Draw 15.65%
LiverpoolDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 12.92%
1-0 @ 10.64%
3-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 7.32%
4-0 @ 6.35%
4-1 @ 4.44%
5-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.56%
5-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.55%
6-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 75.56%
1-1 @ 7.44%
0-0 @ 4.38%
2-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.65%
0-1 @ 3.06%
1-2 @ 2.6%
0-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 8.78%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224
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