SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Arsenal |
51.52% ( -0.07) | 22.2% ( 0.32) | 26.28% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( -1.78) | 37.14% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( -1.95) | 59.33% ( 1.95) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( -0.65) | 14.63% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.24% ( -1.27) | 42.76% ( 1.27) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -1.12) | 26.73% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% ( -1.5) | 61.99% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.27% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.28% |
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