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Liverpool vs. Arsenal: 8 hrs 53 mins
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EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Jan 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Anfield
AL
Liverpool
0 - 0
Arsenal

Robertson (57')
FT

Magalhaes (72')
Xhaka (24')

We said: Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal

Arsenal's complete lack of a midfield presence is there to be exposed by a refreshed Liverpool outfit this week, although the Reds hardly have their first-choice XI available either. The return of several big-hitters should at least help the Gunners post one shot on target at Anfield, but we cannot look past Klopp's side to take a first-leg advantage into next week's second leg at the Emirates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
56.35%22.28%21.37%
Both teams to score 56.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2%42.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79%65.2%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51%43.48%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12%33.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45%70.55%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 56.35%
    Arsenal 21.37%
    Draw 22.28%
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 6.26%
3-0 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-1 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 21.37%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal17123235152039
2Aston Villa18123338221639
3Liverpool17115136152138
4Manchester CityMan City17104340202034
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs17103435231233
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1792636211529
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd179171821-328
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton187653431327
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham178362930-127
10Chelsea176472826222
11Fulham176382629-321
12Brentford175482424019
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves175482129-819
14Bournemouth165472130-919
15Crystal Palace184681826-818
16Everton178272220216
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest173591730-1314
18Luton TownLuton1623111732-159
19Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1823131344-319
20Burnley1722131636-208
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