We said: Arsenal 2-1 West Ham United
It is sometimes difficult to know what to expect from this Arsenal side under Arteta, but only Manchester City have performed as well at home this term, which bodes well for the Gunners against an injury-hit West Ham.
Moyes continues to work around numerous absentees in defence and history is not in his favour heading into Wednesday's game, so we have confidence in Arsenal to leapfrog their top-four rivals with all three points at the Emirates.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
