MX23RW : Friday, April 21 19:47:21
SM
Friday, April 21
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK at Emirates Stadium
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Arsenal
3 - 0
Southampton
Lacazette (21'), Odegaard (27'), Magalhaes (62')
Magalhaes (3'), Saka (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)

We said: Arsenal 2-0 Southampton

Given Arsenal's consistent spell of good fortunes at home and Southampton's inability to make their travels worthwhile, this is the perfect opportunity for the Gunners to return to winning ways - not that it will do much good for Arteta's standing with the fans. Should the Gunners learn from their mistakes of the past few weeks and attempt to kill the game off if 1-0 up, we ought to see Arteta's side return to winning ways in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawSouthampton
64.05%20.89%15.07%
Both teams to score 48.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.24%46.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98%69.02%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11%13.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68%41.32%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.58%43.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35%79.65%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 64.05%
    Southampton 15.07%
    Draw 20.89%
ArsenalDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 7.73%
3-1 @ 6.45%
4-0 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.69%
5-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 64.05%
1-1 @ 9.93%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.89%
0-1 @ 5.03%
1-2 @ 4.14%
0-2 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 15.07%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal31235374314374
2Manchester CityMan City30224478285070
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd3018574637959
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle301511448242456
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs311651057451253
6Aston Villa31155114440450
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29147854371749
8Liverpool30138956362047
9Brentford31101384742543
10Fulham30126124241142
11Chelsea31109123033-339
12Crystal Palace3199133140-936
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3197152642-1634
14Bournemouth3196163159-2833
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3087152941-1231
16Leeds UnitedLeeds3178164060-2029
17Everton3169162446-2227
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3169162456-3227
19Leicester CityLeicester3174204155-1425
20Southampton3165202453-2923
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