Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
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