SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Luton Town |
50.98% ( -1.14) | 24.49% ( -0.03) | 24.53% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.93% ( 1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% ( 1.2) | 49.02% ( -1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( 1.07) | 71.1% ( -1.07) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.01) | 19.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( 0.02) | 50.94% ( -0.02) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 1.7) | 34.46% ( -1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( 1.77) | 71.17% ( -1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.97% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.53% |
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