SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Crystal Palace |
60.03% ( -0.05) | 21.95% ( 0) | 18.01% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% ( 0.05) | 46.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( 0.05) | 68.46% ( -0.05) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% | 14.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.62% ( 0) | 43.38% ( -0) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.65% ( 0.08) | 39.34% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.95% ( 0.07) | 76.04% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 60.03% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.95% | 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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