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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
32.21% ( -0.38) | 22.26% ( 0.6) | 45.53% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 66.72% ( -2.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.53% ( -3.21) | 33.46% ( 3.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.74% ( -3.76) | 55.26% ( 3.76) |
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% ( -1.74) | 21.19% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.94% ( -2.77) | 54.06% ( 2.77) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( -1.31) | 15.34% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.9% ( -2.51) | 44.1% ( 2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.69% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.52)3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.73)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.2)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.17% Total : 45.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Southampton Under-21sSaints U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 42 |
| 2 | Leeds United Under-21sLeeds U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Nottingham Forest Under-21sForest U21s | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 41 |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion Under-21sWBA U21s | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 37 |
| 5 | Aston Villa Under-21sAston Villa U21s | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Norwich City Under-21sNorwich U21s | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough Under-21sBoro U21s | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 26 |
| 8 | Newcastle United Under-21sNewcastle U21s | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland Under-21sSunderland U21s | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Stoke City Under-21sStoke U21s | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
| 11 | Derby County Under-21sDerby U21s | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 1 |
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