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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for West Bromwich Albion Under-21s had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 4-1 (6.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.86%), while for a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | West Bromwich Albion Under-21s |
74.15% ( -0.45) | 13.68% ( 0.19) | 12.17% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 69.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.28) | 18.08% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0.41) | 35.3% ( 0.41) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.72% ( -0.12) | 4.28% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.23% ( -0.37) | 17.77% ( 0.37) |
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( 0.1) | 27.64% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.82% ( 0.13) | 63.18% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | West Bromwich Albion Under-21s |
| 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)6-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)5-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.39% Total : 74.15% | 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 13.68% | 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 12.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Southampton Under-21sSaints U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 42 |
| 2 | Leeds United Under-21sLeeds U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 29 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Nottingham Forest Under-21sForest U21s | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 41 |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion Under-21sWBA U21s | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 37 |
| 5 | Aston Villa Under-21sAston Villa U21s | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Norwich City Under-21sNorwich U21s | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough Under-21sBoro U21s | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 26 |
| 8 | Newcastle United Under-21sNewcastle U21s | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland Under-21sSunderland U21s | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Stoke City Under-21sStoke U21s | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
| 11 | Derby County Under-21sDerby U21s | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 1 |
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