SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (4.79%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
43.04% ( -0.28) | 21.28% ( -0.09) | 35.68% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 71.9% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.74% ( 0.6) | 27.26% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.18% ( 0.75) | 47.81% ( -0.74) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.22% ( 0.15) | 13.78% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.9% ( 0.28) | 41.1% ( -0.27) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( 0.45) | 16.6% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.58% ( 0.79) | 46.41% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 35.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Southampton Under-21sSaints U21s | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 42 |
| 2 | Leeds United Under-21sLeeds U21s | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Nottingham Forest Under-21sForest U21s | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 41 |
| 4 | Aston Villa Under-21sAston Villa U21s | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion Under-21sWBA U21s | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Norwich City Under-21sNorwich U21s | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough Under-21sBoro U21s | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 26 |
| 8 | Sunderland Under-21sSunderland U21s | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 20 |
| 9 | Newcastle United Under-21sNewcastle U21s | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 20 |
| 10 | Stoke City Under-21sStoke U21s | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 13 |
| 11 | Derby County Under-21sDerby U21s | 19 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 66 | -54 | 1 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
