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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.79%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
24.93% ( -0.12) | 19.35% ( -0.02) | 55.72% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 72.04% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.66% ( -0.01) | 24.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.94% ( -0.02) | 44.05% ( 0.01) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.08) | 20.68% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( -0.13) | 53.27% ( 0.12) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.81% ( 0.03) | 9.18% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.89% ( 0.07) | 31.1% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 2.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.93% | 1-1 @ 7.15% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.35% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 5.35% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 3.2% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.53% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.6% Total : 55.72% |
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