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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.57%) and 2-3 (4.88%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
33.86% ( 0.06) | 21.16% ( 0.06) | 44.98% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 71.78% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.29) | 27.2% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.37) | 47.74% ( 0.36) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( -0.11) | 17.38% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.2% ( -0.19) | 47.8% ( 0.19) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( -0.15) | 13.12% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.24% ( -0.31) | 39.76% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.03% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 44.98% |
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