SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 56.81%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 21.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
21.62% ( 0.45) | 21.57% ( 0.19) | 56.81% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 59.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
