Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
