Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 61.87%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.2% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.