SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 56.96%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leicester City Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
56.96% ( 0.02) | 19.79% ( 0.01) | 23.25% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 68.14% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.58% ( -0.11) | 28.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.74% ( -0.14) | 49.27% ( 0.13) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.84% ( -0.03) | 10.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.6% ( -0.06) | 33.41% ( 0.06) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.09) | 24.15% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% ( -0.13) | 58.46% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.75% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.79% | 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 23.25% |
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