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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
25.25% ( -1.22) | 20.69% ( -0.09) | 54.06% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 67.12% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.28% ( -0.75) | 30.72% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.95% ( -0.9) | 52.05% ( 0.9) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -1.22) | 24.01% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( -1.78) | 58.27% ( 1.78) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.33% ( 0.12) | 11.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.27% ( 0.25) | 36.72% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 4% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.73% Total : 25.25% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.33)0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 3.55% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.15)1-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)2-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.06% |
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