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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
48.81% ( -0.21) | 21.47% ( 0.02) | 29.72% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 68.26% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.04) | 30.87% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0.05) | 52.23% ( -0.05) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% ( -0.05) | 13.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.94% ( -0.11) | 40.06% ( 0.11) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.13) | 21.29% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( 0.2) | 54.23% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.72% |
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