SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
57.85% ( 0.3) | 19.36% ( -0.06) | 22.78% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 69.17% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.12% ( -0.01) | 26.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.01) | 47.32% ( 0.01) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.52% ( 0.07) | 9.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.2% ( 0.16) | 31.79% ( -0.16) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.18) | 23.59% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% ( -0.26) | 57.66% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.23% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.36% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.78% |
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