SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 3-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
63.81% ( -1.19) | 18.46% ( 0.08) | 17.73% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( 2.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% ( 1.78) | 30.17% ( -1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% ( 2.11) | 51.39% ( -2.1) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.94% ( 0.22) | 9.06% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.18% ( 0.53) | 30.82% ( -0.52) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 2.32) | 29.97% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( 2.71) | 66.08% ( -2.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.64)3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.6)3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.14)Other @ 4.26% Total : 63.81% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.46% | 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.57% Total : 17.73% |
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