SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
55.91% ( 0.36) | 22.73% ( -0.09) | 21.37% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.03) | 44.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.02) | 67.17% ( -0.02) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( 0.13) | 15.86% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.94% ( 0.24) | 45.07% ( -0.24) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( -0.25) | 35.02% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.24% ( -0.26) | 71.76% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 21.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Legia WarsawLegia | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 8 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | Warta Poznan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Ruch Chorzow | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lodz | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 7 |
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