SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
47.72% ( -0.17) | 25.07% ( 0.16) | 27.21% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.63% ( -0.65) | 49.37% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( -0.59) | 71.42% ( 0.59) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -0.34) | 20.71% ( 0.34) |
