SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a LKS Lodz win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | LKS Lodz |
60.19% ( 0.26) | 21.56% ( -0.17) | 18.25% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( 0.57) | 44.1% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0.55) | 66.48% ( -0.56) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( 0.27) | 14.23% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.03% ( 0.52) | 41.97% ( -0.52) |
| LKS Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.14% ( 0.23) | 37.85% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.37% ( 0.22) | 74.63% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | LKS Lodz |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.18% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slask Wroclaw | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 | Legia WarsawLegia | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 24 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 16 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 13 | Warta Poznan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Ruch Chorzow | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | LKS Lodz | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 8 |
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