SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 67.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Puszcza Niepolomice |
67.88% ( 0.03) | 19.18% ( -0) | 12.94% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.09% ( -0.03) | 43.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( -0.03) | 66.3% ( 0.03) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.08% | 11.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.72% ( -0) | 37.28% ( 0) |
| Puszcza Niepolomice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.06) | 44.79% ( 0.06) |
