SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Stal Mielec |
64.44% ( 0) | 20.48% ( 0) | 15.08% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.01) | 44.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( -0.01) | 67.34% ( 0.01) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% | 13.22% ( 0) |
