SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
35.94% ( -0.47) | 25.74% ( 0.08) | 38.31% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.37) | 49.07% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.33) | 71.14% ( 0.33) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.45) | 26.44% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.38% ( -0.6) | 61.61% ( 0.59) |
| Zaglebie Lubin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( 0.05) | 25.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.18% ( 0.06) | 59.81% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slask Wroclaw | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Legia WarsawLegia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 24 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 16 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 13 | Warta Poznan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Ruch Chorzow | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | LKS Lodz | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 8 |
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