SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
40.56% ( -0.01) | 25.94% ( -0.01) | 33.5% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.06) | 50.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( 0.06) | 72.23% ( -0.05) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( 0.02) | 24.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.07% ( 0.03) | 58.92% ( -0.03) |
| Radomiak Radom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( 0.05) | 28.51% ( -0.04) |
