SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
44.19% ( 1.1) | 26.42% ( -0.05) | 29.4% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( -0.22) | 53.62% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( -0.19) | 75.12% ( 0.19) |
| KS Cracovia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.45) | 24.13% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.56% ( 0.63) | 58.44% ( -0.63) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( -0.88) | 33.01% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.4% ( -0.99) | 69.6% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.18% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slask Wroclaw | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 | Legia WarsawLegia | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 24 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 16 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 13 | Warta Poznan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Ruch Chorzow | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | LKS Lodz | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 8 |
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