SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
37.52% ( -0.09) | 26.14% ( -0.02) | 36.34% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.21% ( 0.1) | 50.79% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% ( 0.08) | 72.68% ( -0.08) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -0.01) | 26.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.51% ( -0.01) | 61.49% ( 0.01) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( 0.11) | 27.03% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.61% ( 0.15) | 62.39% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | LarneLarne | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 18 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | LinfieldLinfield | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 68 |
| 3 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | GlentoranGlentoran | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 64 |
| 5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 6 | ColeraineColeraine | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | GlenavonGlenavon | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 37 |
| 9 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 32 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 23 |
| 11 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 33 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 76 | -54 | 23 |
| 12 | PortadownPortadown | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 83 | -60 | 16 |
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