Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
