Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.