Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
