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Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 5pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)
HN

Turkey
vs.
Hungary

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Montenegro 3-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Germany
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Turkey 1-1 Hungary

Turkey will be keen to make full use of home advantage ahead of Sunday's trip to Hungary, but we think the hosts could be held to a draw in Thursday's contest, taking into account the fact they have failed to win their last five head-to-head matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Turkey win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw has a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hungary has a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hungary win it is 0-1 (5.31%).

Result
TurkeyDrawHungary
61.8% (0.171 0.17) 21.54% (-0.3 -0.3) 16.66% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 50.23% (1.207 1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (1.478 1.48)46.6% (-1.479 -1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (1.371 1.37)68.87% (-1.373 -1.37)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.541 0.54)14.54% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (1.034 1.03)42.58% (-1.036 -1.04)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77% (1.046 1.05)41.22% (-1.048 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24% (0.914 0.91)77.75% (-0.916 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 61.79%
    Hungary 16.66%
    Draw 21.54%
TurkeyDrawHungary
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-0 @ 11.14% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.154 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.146 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.095 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.045 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 61.79%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montenegro 3-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 0-0 Wales
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-4 Turkey
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Iceland
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Wales 0-0 Turkey
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Germany
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Hungary
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-2 Hungary
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Netherlands
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Hungary 0-0 Bosnia H'vina
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Germany 5-0 Hungary
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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