SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montenegro | Draw | Turkey |
32.67% ( 0.01) | 26.5% ( 0.06) | 40.82% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( -0.23) | 52.81% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.19) | 74.44% ( 0.19) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( -0.11) | 30.29% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0.13) | 66.47% ( 0.13) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.14) | 25.48% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( -0.19) | 60.32% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montenegro | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.82% |
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