MX23RW : Sunday, March 23 07:29:05
SM
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Spain vs. Netherlands: 12 hrs 15 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
SN
Spain national football team
Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
NN
Netherlands national football team

Spain
vs.
Netherlands

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Spain
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Spain
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Spain 2-1 Netherlands (Spain win 4-3 on aggregate)

Thursday's match was very entertaining, and we are expecting more of the same here; both teams have players who can hurt the other in the final third of the field, and it would not be a shock to see this tie go all the way to penalties. However, we are expecting Spain to just about get the job done in normal time to progress to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Netherlands has a probability of 23.55% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Netherlands win is 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.54%).

Result
SpainDrawNetherlands
53.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 22.67% (-0.029 -0.03) 23.55% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98% (0.165 0.16)42.01% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (0.166 0.17)64.42% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (0.051000000000002 0.05)15.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.41% (0.102 0.1)44.58% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.122 0.12)31.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (0.145 0.15)67.87% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Spain 53.78%
    Netherlands 23.55%
    Draw 22.66%
SpainDrawNetherlands
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.031999999999998 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.25% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 53.78%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 23.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Spain
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 3-2 Switzerland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 1-2 Spain
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 1-0 Denmark
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 1-4 Spain
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Spain
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Hungary
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Germany 1-0 Netherlands
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Hungary 1-1 Netherlands
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Germany
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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