Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Tehelne pole

Slovakia
vs.
Slovenia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 1-0 Estonia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Slovenia

All competitions

Last Game: Austria 1-1 Slovenia
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Slovakia have been excellent in their Nations League campaign so far, and they should be confident of securing a positive result. Additionally, Slovenia could encounter a number of difficulties on Thursday given they have been more porous defensively in the past weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Slovakia win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Slovenia has a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Slovenia win it is 0-1 (5.84%).

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Slovenia
63.22% ( -0.62)	22.48% ( 0.06)	14.3% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 42.31% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.56% (

0.76)

54.44% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2% (

0.63)

75.8% (

-0.63)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

0.06)

16.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.37% (

0.1)

46.63% (

-0.1)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.8% (

1.32)

49.2% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.9% (

0.92)

84.1% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Slovakia 63.21%

Slovenia 14.3%

Draw 22.47%

Slovakia	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 63.21%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.47%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.69% Total : 14.3%