After a miserable showing in midweek, Kazakhstan do not look like causing Slovenia many problems in the final third, with most of their main forwards short of playing time at club level. The visitors are still hoping for a top-two finish, and they can stay in contention by edging out their hosts in Pavlodar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw has a probability of 28.3% and a win for Kazakhstan has a probability of 28.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Kazakhstan win it is 1-0 (10.23%).

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Slovenia
28.21% ( 0.04)	28.29% ( 0.03)	43.49% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 44.86% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.09% (

-0.07)

60.91% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.07% (

-0.05)

80.92% (

0.05)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15% (

-0.01)

37.85% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.38% (

-0.01)

74.62% (

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

-0.07)

27.82% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58% (

-0.09)

63.41% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 28.21%

Slovenia 43.49%

Draw 28.28%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.21%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.49%