SM
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Kazakhstan |
61.71% ( 0.06) | 22.08% ( -0.09) | 16.21% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( 0.38) | 49.64% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( 0.34) | 71.66% ( -0.34) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( 0.15) | 15.58% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( 0.27) | 44.54% ( -0.28) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.37% ( 0.26) | 43.63% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% ( 0.21) | 79.82% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.69% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.21% |
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