SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.69%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
83.69% ( 0.01) | 10.56% ( -0.01) | 5.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.13) | 25.16% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.87% ( 0.16) | 45.13% ( -0.16) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.71% ( 0.02) | 4.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.21% ( 0.07) | 17.78% ( -0.07) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.22% ( 0.13) | 46.78% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.68% ( 0.1) | 82.32% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 3-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 5.18% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)7-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.09% Total : 83.69% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 10.56% | 1-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 5.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 84 |
| 3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
| 4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
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