SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
27.3% ( -0.68) | 24.57% ( -0) | 48.14% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( -0.43) | 47.17% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( -0.4) | 69.4% ( 0.4) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.73) | 31.22% ( 0.74) |
