SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Solihull Moors |
35.15% ( 1.2) | 25.1% ( 0.35) | 39.75% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% ( -1.35) | 46.3% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% ( -1.29) | 68.59% ( 1.28) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.06) | 25.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.52% ( 0.09) | 60.48% ( -0.09) |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -1.35) | 23.12% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.02% ( -2.01) | 56.98% ( 2.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 |
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 |
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 |
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 |
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 |
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 |
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 |
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