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Saturday, August 20

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Notts County 3-0 Dover Athletic

After previously beating Dover 3-0 just last week, we are predicting a similar scoreline again on Monday to see County strengthen their grip on a playoff spot. Despite being defeated at the weekend, the home side are in strong form lately, whilst it is difficult to see where the next point will come from for a poor visiting Dover side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 86.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 4.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
86.8%8.66%4.53%
Both teams to score 51.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.62%20.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.34%38.66%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.93%3.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.25%13.74%
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49%46.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.88%82.11%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 86.8%
    Dover Athletic 4.53%
    Draw 8.66%
Notts CountyDrawDover Athletic
3-0 @ 10.08%
4-0 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 7.72%
4-1 @ 6.73%
2-1 @ 6.64%
5-0 @ 6.14%
1-0 @ 4.97%
5-1 @ 4.7%
6-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.96%
6-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 2.58%
5-2 @ 1.8%
7-0 @ 1.78%
7-1 @ 1.36%
6-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 86.8%
1-1 @ 3.8%
2-2 @ 2.54%
0-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 8.66%
1-2 @ 1.46%
0-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 4.53%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aldershot 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Weymouth
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-1 King's Lynn
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Altrincham
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-4 Woking
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-2 Dover Athletic
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League
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